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In January 2024, a YouGov survey revealed significant divisions within British public opinion concerning conscription in a hypothetical global conflict scenario. The survey found that of those aged 18 to 40, 33% would refuse to serve if drafted. This was up 7% on an answer to a similar question posed in a 2015 survey.[1] A deeper analysis of the YouGov survey showed that 21% cited a reluctance to participate in warfare they believe benefits only the wealthy elite, highlighting a broader mistrust toward governmental intentions and perceived systemic corruption. Additionally,…

In modern warfare, the role of morale remains a critical determinant of military effectiveness, shaping the mindset, resilience, and determination of soldiers on the battlefield. As technology continues to advance, with drones, AI, and other innovations reshaping the nature of conflict across land, sea, and air domains, understanding the interplay between technology and morale is paramount. Over the past decade, significant technological advancements, including the integration of AI, drones, robotics, and cyber warfare capabilities, have transformed military operations. These innovations offer new opportunities for enhancing situational awareness, improving precision capabilities,…

In the early days of the Russian offensive in Ukraine, it was stated that Russian army units were suffering from major morale problems.[1] In 2023, numerous reports continued to suggest Russians lacked the will to fight.[2] On many parts of the front, it was recounted that Russian units still suffered from supply shortages, high casualties and logistical problems, contributing to their motivation problems. Commentators suggested low morale would affect the Russian war effort.[3] However, to date, there has been no major fracturing of the Russian will to fight. This short…

A recent YouGov poll surveyed the attitudes of Britons aged eligible to serve in the army, navy or air force in the event of a conflict. It suggested that 38% of those of military age, between 18 and 41, would refuse to be conscripted in the event of a new world war.[1] With conflict in Ukraine and the Middle East, commentators believe Britain could be involved in a conflict. The UK defence secretary, Grant Shapps, said in January that the country was moving from a “post war to a pre-war…

In January 2022, the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington DC published an assessment on ‘Russia’s Possible Invasion of Ukraine’. It argued that the ‘true calculation of military success can only be taken after a clash of arms begins. In addition, there are several intangibles—such as weather, urban combat, command and control, logistics, and morale—that may play a significant role in the initial stages of a war’.[1] Fifteen or so days into the conflict, morale has been highlighted as a key factor that is dictating the nature and…